james debate
james debate

Sunday 24 February 2019

oscars 86th academy awards 2014

Welcome back to The Ephemeric. Today we will take a break from our annual Hot List in order to bring you some last minute Oscar predictions (don't blame me, not my fault the Oscars are two weeks earlier this year)!

This year's event has been tragically scandal-ridden, even by the Academy's standards. As a result, the ceremony will have no host for the first time since 1989. Given that the alternative was Kevin Hart, I think it's fair to say we dodged a bullet there.

Regardless, this evening is still mostly about the films. So for you, our loyal readers, please find below predictions for the big night. You may not have seen the big films this year, or be familiar with the latest hype tearing through tinseltown; if so consider the following a crib sheet for what lies ahead this weekend, and perhaps even a sneak peek at who might just be walking away with the big prize.

Best Picture


  • Black Panther
  • Blackkklansman
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • Roma
  • A Star is Born
  • Vice
And the winner: Green Book
Who should really win: Blackkklansman

Best Director

  • Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
  • Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War
  • Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
  • Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
  • Adam McKay – Vice
And the winner: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Who should really win: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

Best Actor

  • Christian Bale – Vice 
  • Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born 
  • Willem Dafoe – At Eternity's Gate 
  • Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody 
  • Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
And the winner: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Who should really win: Christian Bale, Vice 

Best Actress

  • Yalitza Aparicio – Roma 
  • Glenn Close – The Wife 
  • Olivia Colman – The Favourite 
  • Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born 
  • Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me? 
And the winner: Glenn Close, The Wife
Who should really win: Olivia Colman - The Favourite 

Best Supporting Actor

  • Mahershala Ali – Green Book 
  • Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman 
  • Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
  • Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me? 
  • Sam Rockwell – Vice 
And the winnerMahershala Ali, Green Book   
Who should really win: Mahershala Ali, Green Book   

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amy Adams – Vice 
  • Marina de Tavira – Roma 
  • Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk 
  • Emma Stone – The Favourite 
  • Rachel Weisz – The Favourite 
And the winnerRegina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Who should really win: Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Favourite – Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
  • First Reformed – Paul Schrader
  • Green Book – Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie and Peter Farrelly
  • Roma – Alfonso Cuarón
  • Vice – Adam McKay
And the winnerThe Favourite, Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
Who should really win: Vice, Adam McKay

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
  • BlacKkKlansman – Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me? – Nicole Holofcener 
  • If Beale Street Could Talk – Barry Jenkins
  • A Star Is Born – Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters
And the winner: BlacKkKlansman, Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee
Who should really win: BlacKkKlansman, Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee

So there you have it, The Ephemeric's picks for the year. Enjoy the Oscars this weekend, and when the results go as predicted, remember that you heard it here first! Coming up next week, I stop procrastinating and finish the Hot List!

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